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NFL 2025 Week 12 — Game Type Profiles & Projected vs Final Scores

Built from PowerScores + Home Advantage — Updated with Results Where Available

Category Count: 🧱 Defensive Low: 4 🔥 Attacking (One-Sided): 6 ⚔️ High-Level Even Attacking: 3 ⚖️ Balanced: 1

🧱 Defensive Low Games

Grind games with suppressed scoring, field-position battles and fewer explosive plays. Typical totals: 32–40 points or lower.

Matchup	Type	Projected Score	Total	Final	Notes
Pittsburgh at Chicago	Defensive Low	PIT 17 – CHI 14	31	PIT 28 – CHI 31 (59)	Both offenses inconsistent, defenses keep it tight. Actual became a shootout; total cleared projection by +28.
Cleveland at Las Vegas	Defensive Low	CLE 16 – LV 13	29	CLE 24 – LV 10 (34)	Bottom-tier offenses; classic ugly low-scoring profile.
Buffalo at Houston	Defensive Lean	BUF 20 – HOU 17	37	BUF 19 – HOU 23 (42)	Buffalo defense limits explosives; tempo leans under mid-40s. Actual total 42 stayed in the projected low range.
Jacksonville at Arizona	Defensive Low	JAX 19 – ARI 13	32	JAX 27 – ARI 24	Arizona struggles to finish drives; JAX red zone inconsistency.

🔥 Attacking Games (One-Sided)

One team controls the scoreboard with explosive plays; the other struggles to keep pace. Typical totals: mid 40s to low 50s.

Matchup	Type	Projected Score	Total	Final	Notes
NY Jets at Baltimore	Attacking (BAL dom)	BAL 34 – NYJ 10	44	NYJ 10 – BAL 23 (33)	Jets offense bottom-tier, Ravens roll at home. Script right (BAL control), but red-zone issues kept total down.
Minnesota at Green Bay	Attacking Lean	GB 31 – MIN 20	51	MIN 6 – GB 23 (29)	GB offense trending up, MIN defense leaking. GB dominance correct; MIN offense collapsed, dragging total under.
NY Giants at Detroit	Attacking (DET dom)	DET 38 – NYG 13	51	NYG 27 – DET 34 (61)	Huge PowerScore gap; Lions can name the score. DET control right, but NYG scored far more than projected; big total over.
Tampa Bay at LA Rams	Attacking (LAR dom)	LAR 34 – TB 17	51	LAR 34 – TB 7(41)	#1 PowerScore offense at home in good conditions.
Carolina at San Francisco	Attacking (SF dom)	SF 30 – CAR 14	44	SF 20 – Car 9(29)	Short fields off defense; CAR struggles to answer.
Seattle at Tennessee	Attacking (SEA dom)	SEA 34 – TEN 16	50	SEA 30 – TEN 24 (54)	Massive rating gap; Tennessee defense outgunned. SEA control mostly held, with TEN scoring more than expected.

⚔️ High-Level Even Attacking Games

Both offenses trade blows, lead changes are likely, and the final drive can decide it. Typical totals: mid 50s and up.

Matchup	Type	Projected Score	Total	Final	Notes
Indianapolis at Kansas City	High-Level Attacking	KC 31 – IND 27	58	IND 20 – KC 23 (43)	Two strong offenses, game of the week potential. Actual played as a tighter, lower total game; KC win correct, game type overestimated.
Philadelphia at Dallas	High-Level Attacking	PHI 30 – DAL 24	54	Dall 24 – PHI 21(25)	Dallas home scoring vs Philly efficiency.
Atlanta at New Orleans	High-Level Even	ATL 27 – NO 23	50	ALt 24 – NO 10(41)	Sneaky shootout potential if both passing games click.

⚖️ Balanced Mid-Range Games

Neither pure defensive slugfest nor full shootout; scoring lands roughly in the low-to-mid 40s.

Matchup	Type	Projected Score	Total	Final	Notes
New England at Cincinnati	Balanced	NE 27 – CIN 20	47	NE 26 – CIN 20 (46)	NE controls tempo; scoring sits between grind and shootout. Projection almost perfect: spread and total both within 1 point.

NFL 2025 Week 13 — Game Type Profiles & Projections

PowerScores + Home Edge — Tags Applied

Match Count: 16 Games Buckets: Defensive Grind 🧱, One-Sided Attack 🔥, Balanced ⚖️

🧱 Defensive Low / Grind Games

Slow tempo, suppressed scoring, tight margins.

Matchup	Type	Projected	Total	Final	Notes
SF @ CLE	Grind	SF 21 — CLE 17	38	SF 26 — CLE 8	Purdy in command; Browns offense stalled.
BUF @ PIT	Defensive Low	BUF 19 — PIT 17	36	BUF 26 — PIT 7	Bills defense suffocating; Allen rushing TD record.
ATL @ NYJ	Hold	NYJ 20 — ATL 17	37	NYJ 27 — ATL 24	Folk 56-yard GW FG as time expires.
NYG @ NE	Hold	NE 23 — NYG 14	37	NE 33 — NYG 15	Patriots roll to 10th straight win.
DEN @ WSH	Balanced Defensive Lean	DEN 24 — WSH 17	41	DEN 27 — WSH 26 (OT)	Goal-line OT stop saves Denver.

🔥 One-Sided Attacking / Blowout Risk

One team controls scoreboard via explosives.

Matchup	Type	Projected	Total	Final	Notes
GB @ DET	Detroit Dom (Projected)	DET 31 — GB 22	53	GB 31 — DET 24	Love 4 TD passes flips projection.
BAL vs CIN	Baltimore Control (Proj)	BAL 26 — CIN 14	40	CIN 32 — BAL 14	Burrow returns and Bengals force 5 turnovers.
SEA vs MIN	Seattle Dom	SEA 30 — MIN 17	47	SEA 26 — MIN 0	Seahawks post first shutout in a decade.
LAC vs LV	Chargers Dom	LAC 27 — LV 10	37	LAC 31 — LV 14	Herbert battles injury but dominates.
LAR vs CAR	Rams Dom (Proj)	LAR 34 — CAR 7	41	CAR 31 — LAR 28	Panthers force 3 Stafford turnovers.
PHI vs CHI	PHI Control (Proj)	PHI 31 — CHI 20	51	CHI 24 — PHI 15	Bears take over second half; Eagles skid continues.

⚔️ High-Level Even Attacking / Decider

Lead changes, last drive decides.

Matchup	Type	Projected	Total	Final	Notes
KC @ DAL	High-Level	KC 31 — DAL 27	58	DAL 31 — KC 28	Prescott late surge over Mahomes.
MIA vs NO	Even Attacking	MIA 24 — NO 17	41	MIA 21 — NO 17	Achane 134 yards drives win.

⚖️ Balanced Mid-Range Games

Totals likely low 40s, moderate control both sides respond.

Matchup	Type	Projected	Total	Final	Notes
HOU @ IND	Balanced	HOU 24 — IND 23	47	HOU 20 — IND 16	Texans clamp Colts late inside 20.
JAX @ TEN	Balanced Lean	JAX 27 — TEN 17	44	JAX 25 — TEN 3	Titans offense collapses; JAX cruise.
ARI @ TB	Balanced	TB 23 — ARI 20	43	TB 20 — ARI 17	Bucs hold after late Cards push.

*TBD indicates no final result available at the time of writing.

NFL 2025 Week 14 — Game Type Profiles & Final Results

PowerScores + Game Shape Tags

Match Count: 5 Games Tags: Defensive Grind 🧱, Attacking 🔥, Even ⚔️, Balanced ⚖️

🧱 Defensive / Grind Games

Low totals, disciplined fronts, field-position battles.

Matchup	Type	Projected	Total	Final	Notes
WSH @ DET	Grind	WSH 20 — DET 19	39	WSH 23 — DET 17	Commanders front wins key 3rd downs.

⚖️ Balanced Mid-Range Games

Moderate tempo, totals in the 40s, controlled offense.

Matchup	Type	Projected	Total	Final	Notes
NE @ TEN	Balanced	NE 24 — TEN 21	45	NE 29 — TEN 22	Patriots close strong; 14–3 record.
NYJ @ IND	Balanced	IND 23 — NYJ 20	43	NYJ 24 — IND 17	Jets defense forces late turnover.

🔥 Attacking / High-Output Games

Explosive plays, mismatches, scoring surges.

Matchup	Type	Projected	Total	Final	Notes
ATL @ MIN	Attacking	ATL 28 — MIN 23	51	ATL 33 — MIN 22	Falcons explosive run game breaks it open.

⚔️ Even / Last-Drive Games

High leverage, lead changes, OT potential.

Matchup	Type	Projected	Total	Final	Notes
LAR @ SF	Even	SF 24 — LAR 23	47	LAR 26 — SF 23 (OT)	OT thriller; Rams walk-off FG.

*All finals confirmed for Week 14.

NFL Week 14 – Forecast + Results

All games grouped into forecast categories.

DEFENSIVE / GRIND

Matchup	Forecast	Final Score	Winner	Correct?
Cowboys vs Lions	Lions by 6	44–30 Lions	Lions	✔
Seahawks vs Falcons	Seahawks by 7	37–9 Seahawks	Seahawks	✔
Bengals vs Bills	Bills by 3	39–34 Bills	Bills	✔

BALANCED

Matchup	Forecast	Final Score	Winner	Correct?
Titans vs Browns	Browns by 1	31–29 Titans	Titans	✘
Commanders vs Vikings	Vikings by 10	31–0 Vikings	Vikings	✔
Dolphins vs Jets	Dolphins by 7	34–10 Dolphins	Dolphins	✔
Saints vs Buccaneers	Bucs by 3	24–20 Saints	Saints	✘
Colts vs Jaguars	Jaguars by 4	36–19 Jaguars	Jaguars	✔
Steelers vs Ravens	Steelers by 1	27–22 Steelers	Steelers	✔

ATTACKING

Matchup	Forecast	Final Score	Winner	Correct?
Broncos vs Raiders	Broncos by 13	24–17 Broncos	Broncos	✔
Bears vs Packers	Packers by 3	28–21 Packers	Packers	✔
Rams vs Cardinals	Rams by 10	45–17 Rams	Rams	✔
Texans vs Chiefs	Texans by 1	20–10 Texans	Texans	✔

EVEN

Matchup	Forecast	Final Score	Winner	Correct?
Eagles vs Chargers	Eagles by 1	22–19 Chargers (OT)	Chargers	✘

🏈 NFL Week 15 — 2025

Final Scores • Model Game-Type Review • December 12–16, 2025

🧱 Defensive / Control Games

Matchup	Tag	Projection	Final	Model Result	Highlight
Falcons @ Buccaneers	Grind	TB 23–17	ATL 29–28	Miss	Kirk Cousins leads late comeback
Browns @ Bears	Defensive Lean	CHI 27–15	CHI 31–3	Hit	Caleb Williams dominates
Cardinals @ Texans	Control	HOU 31–15	HOU 40–20	Hit	C.J. Stroud, 6th straight win
Jets @ Jaguars	Control	JAX 33–16	JAX 48–20	Hit	Trevor Lawrence masterclass
Chargers @ Chiefs	Defensive Lean	KC 28–20	LAC 16–13	Miss	Mahomes ACL injury
Colts @ Seahawks	Control	SEA 30–15	SEA 18–16	Partial	Myers 56-yard game winner
Titans @ 49ers	One-Sided	SF 33–16	SF 37–24	Hit	Purdy throws 3 TDs

🔥 One-Sided Attacking

Matchup	Tag	Projection	Final	Model Result	Highlight
Raiders @ Eagles	PHI Dom	PHI 34–16	PHI 31–0	Hit	Hurts throws 3 TDs

⚔️ Even / High-Variance Games

Matchup	Tag	Projection	Final	Model Result	Highlight
Ravens @ Bengals	Even	CIN 24–21	BAL 24–0	Miss	Lamar + pick-6, shutout
Bills @ Patriots	Even	NE 23–22	BUF 35–31	Partial	Bills rally from 21 down
Packers @ Broncos	Even	DEN 24–23	DEN 34–26	Hit	Bo Nix throws 4 TDs
Panthers @ Saints	Even	NO 24–23	NO 20–17	Hit	Late Saints FG
Dolphins @ Steelers	Even	PIT 23–21	PIT 28–15	Hit	Rodgers controls game

⚖️ Balanced Mid-Range

Matchup	Tag	Projection	Final	Model Result	Highlight
Commanders @ Giants	Balanced	NYG 27–20	WSH 29–21	Miss	Mariota snaps skid
Lions @ Rams	Balanced Lean	LAR 28–19	LAR 41–34	Partial	Stafford late rally
Vikings @ Cowboys	Balanced	DAL 26–22	MIN 34–26	Miss	Cowboys playoff hopes fade

Model takeaway: Control & Dom tags held strongest; Even games remain highest variance. Injury shocks (KC) and late-game volatility drove misses.

🏈 NFL Week 16 – Final Scores & Highlights

Friday, December 19, 2025

Seahawks 38, Rams 37 (OT)

Seattle erased a 16-point deficit and won in overtime after refusing to play for a tie.

Sunday, December 21, 2025

Eagles 29, Commanders 18

Jalen Hurts leads Philadelphia to a second straight NFC East title.

Bears 22, Packers 16 (OT)

Caleb Williams finds DJ Moore for the winning score in overtime.

Bills 23, Browns 20

James Cook rushes for 117 yards and two TDs as Buffalo edges Cleveland.

Chargers 34, Cowboys 17

Justin Herbert dominates as Dallas is shut out in the second half.

Titans 26, Chiefs 9

Tennessee snaps an 11-game home skid and knocks Kansas City off balance.

Bengals 45, Dolphins 21

Joe Burrow throws four TD passes in a runaway Miami loss.

Saints 29, Jets 6

Chris Olave scores twice as New Orleans cruises at home.

Vikings 16, Giants 13

Minnesota survives a defensive battle as New York loses again.

Panthers 23, Buccaneers 20

Bryce Young leads Carolina to a division-shifting win.

Jaguars 34, Broncos 20

Trevor Lawrence throws four TDs to end Denver’s long winning streak.

Falcons 26, Cardinals 19

Bijan Robinson powers Atlanta past struggling Arizona.

Steelers 29, Lions 24

Late penalty wipes out Detroit’s go-ahead TD in a chaotic finish.

Texans 23, Raiders 21

Houston survives a scare to extend its winning streak to seven.

Patriots 28, Ravens 24

Drake Maye leads a surprise win that clinches New England’s playoff spot.

Tuesday, December 23, 2025

49ers 48, Colts 27

Brock Purdy throws five TDs as San Francisco dominates on Monday night.

NFL Week 16 · Final Results & Highlights

🏈 NFL Week 17 Predictions

Friday

Cowboys over Commanders

27–17

Lions over Vikings

28–21

Broncos over Chiefs

30–17

Sunday / Monday

Chargers over Texans

27–24

Packers over Ravens

26–20

Bengals over Cardinals

31–16

Steelers over Browns

24–17

Saints over Titans

23–19

Jaguars over Colts

30–21

Buccaneers over Dolphins

28–20

Patriots over Jets

24–13

Seahawks over Panthers

27–18

Raiders over Giants

20–16

Bills over Eagles

30–27

49ers over Bears

34–20

Tuesday

Rams over Falcons

28–19

NFL Week 17 · Predictions