AFL Round 24

AFL Round 24 – SportsMind Confidence Dashboard

Round 23 form refresh → Round 24 markets · 20–23 August 2026 · 90% / 95% / 99% Wilson confidence intervals

Strongest Pick

Highest Win %

Most Fragile

Very Stable Picks

SportsMind Round 24 Win Probability

Round 24 Matchups

Confidence Ratings

Match	Pick	Win %	90% CI	95% CI	99% CI	Rating	Stability	Projected Margin	Projected Score

Method: H2H prices are de-vigged to fair market probabilities. Round 23 margin form is applied as a controlled 15% log-odds recency adjustment, with projected margin moved 10% toward the Round 23 relative margin signal. Confidence intervals use Wilson score intervals with effective n=22. Stability: 99% lower bound above 50% = Very Stable; 95% = Stable; 90% = Moderately Stable; otherwise Fragile.