AFL Semi

SportsMind Semi Final

Brisbane Lions v Adelaide Crows · Saturday 12 September 2026 · 7:35pm AEST

Brisbane Lions v Adelaide Crows

Gabba, Brisbane · Yuggera - Turrbal

Brisbane 72.3%

Adelaide 27.7%

SportsMind PickBrisbane Lions

Fair Win %72.3%

Projected MarginBrisbane +20

Projected Score102–82

Measure	Brisbane Lions	Adelaide Crows
H2H Odds	$1.32	$3.44
Fair Market %	72.3%	27.7%
Confidence	High	Low
Stability	Stable lean	Upset chance
Projected Score	102	82
Margin Band	13–24	—

SportsMind Pick: Brisbane Lions
Projected result: Brisbane 102–82 Adelaide
Projected winning margin: Brisbane by 20

Fair percentages remove the bookmaker margin from the supplied $1.32 / $3.44 head-to-head prices. This page uses the current SportsMind semi-final projection and keeps market probability, confidence, projected score, and margin band together in one matchup view.