nfl 2026 week 7

NFL – SportsMind Confidence Dashboard

Previous-week form → selected-week matchups · 90% / 95% / 99% Wilson-style sensitivity bands

Loading ESPN fixtures and scores. Auto refresh runs while this page is visible. Use the included START_NFL.bat launcher if direct browser requests fail. Markets require supplied odds; Statistics alone works from earlier results.

Season Week Include earlier weeksAuto refresh OffEvery 60 secondsEvery 2 minutesEvery 5 minutesForecast Market aloneStatistics aloneCombined (85% market / 15% statistics)

Confidence Ratings

Match (home v away)	Pick	Win %	90% band	95% band	99% band	Rating	Stability	Projected Margin	Projected Score (home–away)

Market: inverse decimal odds normalised to remove the two-way overround; conditional on a decisive outcome. Statistics: expected home points = (home average scored + away average conceded) / 2; away points similarly. Probability uses a normal approximation with the two teams' sample score standard deviations (fallback 10 points with fewer than two games). Combined: 85% market + 15% statistical probability and margin. Only completed games from earlier weeks in the selected season are used. No home-field adjustment. Score projections are rounded separately. These are uncalibrated heuristic forecasts.

Wilson-style bands are sensitivity illustrations using an assumed effective sample size of 22; they are NOT measured confidence intervals for model accuracy or true game probabilities. Stability uses lower bounds above 50% at 99%, 95%, then 90%; otherwise Fragile.

Selected Week Result Analysis

Away @ Home	Pick	Forecast	Away final	Home final	Winner	Correct?	Margin error

Enter final scores only. Ties count as completed but not correct picks. Margin error uses signed home-minus-away margins. Scores and data are saved in this browser when storage is available. Changing inputs recomputes forecasts; this is not a frozen historical backtest.

Season Statistics (before selected week)

Team	Games	W–L–T	Win %	Record %	Avg scored	Sample SD	Mode scored	Avg conceded

Win % = wins / games. Record % = (wins + 0.5 × ties) / games. All tied modes shown; no mode when every score occurs once. Teams on a bye remain in season statistics.